Turning Point for the World Order: Publications by Said El Mansour Cherkaoui
China – Africa: Diplomatic Multipolarity and Business Regionality
As of 2021, China is estimated to hold at least 21% of all African debt. In August 2022, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the…
China Affairs by Said El Mansour Cherkaoui
Contact Said El Mansour Cherkaoui: saidcherkaoui@triconsultingkyoto.com Website: https://triconsultingkyoto.com 新年快乐 – Xīnnián Kuàilè In France at SciencesPo Grenoble – Institut d’Etudes Politiques de Grenoble Chinese
Europe Africa China USA
Europe is discovering that they did not conduct an adequate SWOT Analysis within their own borders and forget that what is called Eastern Europe or…
Multipolarism and New World Order
Atlantic Council 96,034 followers #UkraineAlert – While NATO poses no plausible security threat to Russia, it does create major obstacles for Russian imperialism, writes Peter Dickinson ?????…
New World Economic Individualization
New World Economic Individualization End of Globalization by the Acceptation of State Subsidization National Security, Supply-Chain Resiliency and Technology Leadership. Emergence of World Economic Individualization, …
Changing World Economy
Said El Mansour Cherkaoui Oakland California – USA 15 Janvier 2021 Work and Research by Said El Mansour Cherkaoui on Latin America L’Accord de libre-échange nord-américain…
BRICS BY BRICS BREAKING DOLLAR
Dollar in Jeopardy and Wheel of Fortune Games Euro in the Casino Royale’s Russian Roulette and the Price is Right Games By Said El Mansour…
The United States, China, and the Money Question
By Austin Dean published originally at this link of the Ohio State University, Stanton Foundation Editor’s Note Many Americans, apparently, are really angry at China right…
U.S. Banking Economy and Redefinition of Financial Globalization
by Said El Mansour Cherkaoui – cherkaouijournal@gmail.com Updated 5/26/2023 Dear Readers and Friends It is our pleasure to share with you this Dossier – Analytical Study…
International Trade: Liberalism or National Protectionism
Liberalism for National Capitalism and Protectionism for International Trade Originally posted October 25, 2018, 9:00 am “Laissez faire!”, said the champions of liberalism in the…
JUNE 17, 2023, 7:00 AM
Editors’ Note: The following is adapted from a TED Talk. Another version of this speech appears on the website GZERO Media.
Who runs the world?
This used to be an easy question to answer. If you’re over 45, you grew up in a world dominated by two superpowers. The United States and its allies set the rules on one side of the Berlin Wall, while the Soviet Union called the shots on the other. Nearly every other country had to align its political, economic, and security systems with one side or the other. That was a bipolar world.
Then, in 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed, leaving the United States as the world’s sole superpower. The U.S. dictated outcomes both through its dominant role in international organizations and by exerting raw power. That was a unipolar world.
About 15 years ago, the world changed again—and it got more complicated. The United States became less interested in being the world’s police officer, the architect of global trade, and even the cheerleader of global values. Other countries, getting more powerful, were increasingly able to ignore rules they didn’t like and, occasionally, set some themselves.
That’s a “G-Zero” world: a nonpolar world without global leaders.
Three things happened to cause this geopolitical recession, when the global architecture no longer lines up with the underlying balance of power.
First, Russia wasn’t brought into the Western-led international order. Now a former great power in serious decline, Russia has become extremely angry and sees the West as its primary adversary on the global stage. Whether most of the blame for this lies with the United States and its allies or with Russia, the fact is that is where we are.
Second, China was brought into U.S.-led institutions—but on the presumption that as the Chinese became more integrated, wealthy, and powerful, they would also become more American (i.e., a free-market democracy willing to become a responsible stakeholder in the U.S.-led order and play by the rules without wanting to change them). As it turns out, they’re still Chinese—and the United States is not ready to accept that.
And third, the United States and its allies ignored the tens of millions of their own citizens who felt left behind by globalization. Their grievances were further fueled by growing income and wage inequality, shifting demographics and identity politics, and polarization from new media technologies. After decades of benign neglect, most of these citizens have grown fundamentally mistrustful of their governments and of democracy itself, in turn making their leaders less able or willing to lead.
All the geopolitical crises you see in the headlines every day? The war in Ukraine, confrontation over Taiwan, nuclear tensions with Iran and North Korea, you name it—some 90 percent of them are directly or indirectly because of the geopolitical recession caused by these three issues. In other words, the crises are not about individual leaders. They are a structural feature of our geopolitical landscape.
Yet for better or worse, geopolitical recessions don’t last forever. And the coming global order is something very, very different from what we’ve become used to.
Bliken Blink of the Eye Review of China – US Relationship
US Secretary Blinken has sought to clarify two strategic miscalculations with China during his past two days of China visit.
One, the US seeks to de-risk and diversify, not decouple, from China. China has held the belief that the US seeks to contain, encircle, and suppress China’s development. De-risk from China, while maintaining a broad-based economic relationship with China, sends a positive signal to the European and Asian allies to continue cultivating business interests with China.
Two, the US does not seek to unilaterally change the status quo on Taiwan. The US does not support “Taiwan independence.” This addresses China’s core of core interests. The basic positions expressed will likely appease the military tension lately seen around the Taiwan Strait.
The relationship between the United States and China is not about these questions, it is about how to maintain a balance of power with share inputs and decision processes that can concern and be of a high level of consideration at the level of national interest, geo-strategic policies and global financial and economic endeavors for not just the United States and China but also for the rest of the world and in the first place the emerging national economies.
“We’ve made historic investments in our infrastructure, technology, industrial capacity, and competitiveness. We’ve deepened our engagement and alignment with allies and partners around the world in ways that would have been unimaginable a few years ago.
That’s the backdrop for the relationship between the United States and the People’s Republic of China – one of the most consequential in the world. Both the United States and China should manage this relationship responsibly. Doing so serves the best interests of the United States, of China, indeed, of the world.”
Source: Secretary of State Antony J. Bliken’s Press Availability – BEIJING AMERICAN CENTER, BEIJING, PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA, JUNE 19, 2023
The other related factor is the building of channels of communication that are also connected to the respective allies of the United States and China and make them participants also in the definition of new regional policies that is providing safeguards against any spilling or excess in the reactions of these allies against each other regional interests.
“To shape that future, we start with diplomacy – including with China. I came to Beijing to strengthen high-level challenges of communication, to make clear our positions and intentions in areas of disagreement, and to explore areas where we might work together when our interests align on shared transnational challenges. And we did all of that.
Here in Beijing, I had an important conversation with President Xi Jinping. And I had candid, substantive, and constructive discussions with my counterparts Director Wang Yi and State Councilor Qin Gang. I appreciate the hospitality extended by our hosts.
In every meeting, I stressed that direct engagement and sustained communication at senior levels is the best way to responsibly manage our differences and ensure that competition does not veer into conflict. And I heard the same from my Chinese counterparts. We both agree on the need to stabilize our relationship.
During those meetings, we had a robust conversation about regional and global challenges. That includes Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. I reiterated that we would welcome China playing a constructive role along with other nations to work toward a just peace, based on the principles of the United Nations Charter. We also spoke about North Korea’s increasingly reckless actions and rhetoric. All members of the international community have an interest in encouraging the DPRK to act responsibly, stop launching missiles, and start engaging in its nuclear program. And China is in a unique position to press Pyongyang to engage in dialogue and to end its dangerous behavior.” Source: https://www.state.gov/secretary-of-state-antony-j-blinkens-press-availability/
In other words, maintain a balanced and structured relationship among those who are forming the sphere of influence and investment equally for the United States and China. This will avoid having underneath reasons for regional tensions and localized areas of misconduct and mis-conceptualized assumptions of rivalry and antagonism that can lead to indirect conflict and escalation.
This visit of Blinken is a prelude to the next meeting between Biden and Xi to clarify the role of China as a new peacemaker in Eastern Europe, Africa, and the Middle East and how to ease and transit to such recognition and collaboration of the United States in such new role of China in regional and global affairs.
Said Cherkaoui 24 